Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Flat, but SUV and Pickup Prices on the Rise

Although wholesale used-vehicle prices were essentially flat in September compared to August, this performance almost seems robust when you consider the dramatic volatility in financial markets, the credit gridlock, and concerns about a recession. That is according to Tom Kontos in his “Kontos Kommentary” on the current used-vehicle market conditions and outlook.

Despite the used-vehicle market’s recession-resistance, however, the market is feeling the impact of double-digit year-over-year declines in retail sales resulting from a lack of traffic and diminished credit availability, Kontos writes. Dealers, who might normally stock up on rental and fleet units that come available this time of year due to fall model-year-changeover defleeting, are unwilling or unable to add to their floorplans with credit and sales prospects so constrained.

There is some good news, Kontos reports. Average prices for SUVs and pickups rose again, supporting the belief that prices in these segments hit bottom in May and June when gas hit a $4-plus peak. However, compact car prices are no longer benefiting as much from strong dealer interest in purchasing more fuel-efficient vehicles. Demand for nearly new, usually pricier units also appears to have softened, as evidenced by lower conversion rates (units sold as a percent of units offered) for these vehicles. But the nearly new units that sold well in September fetched higher prices due in part to lack of overall supply of off-rental units.

Regarding credit, like the flow of credit today, travel came to a halt immediately after Sept. 11, 2001, as security concerns outweighed mobility needs. Eventually, travel resumed to pre-Sept. 11 levels, though with greatly decreased convenience due to heightened security screening. Credit will eventually flow freely again, Kontos wrote, allowing commerce to resume at levels that generate economic growth and prosperity. But, like travel today, things will not be the same as they were before the crisis because obtaining credit will be more difficult. In the end, new “security” measures will make lenders, borrowers and investors more disciplined just as travelers have learned to be.

Comment On This Story

Comment: (Max. 10000 characters)  
Please leave blank:
* Please note that every comment is moderated.


Newsletter: Sign up to receive latest news, articles, and much more.

Read the latest

Auto Focus Blog: A blog covering fleets, auto rental and the business of cars

Understanding The Fleetification of Everything

As fleet miles increase exponentially, and as new stratum of fleet enter both consumer and business use cases, the "founding fathers" who gathered at Fleet Forward in Miami last week have some work to do.

The Problem with Valuing Safety Technology

As advanced safety technologies have migrated to mainstream vehicles, retaining value for these options at resale remains an issue.

ELD Mandate: Is Your Head Still in the Sand?

If you think you have 11 weeks to implement an Electronic Logging Device system to meet the Dec. 18 compliance deadline, you really don’t — for a few reasons.

Job Finder: Access Top Talent. Fill Key Positions.