
Rental Fleet Sales Skating Just Above 2025 Levels
The U.S. economy's continued growth and positive business investment are creating a favorable environment for fleet vehicle demand.
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The U.S. economy's continued growth and positive business investment are creating a favorable environment for fleet vehicle demand.
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The fourth quarter should bring stable pricing among buyers and sellers, which should reflect only modest changes between now and the end of the year.
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Since the labor actions started Sept. 15, the U.S. has ample inventory for now from the Detroit automakers that should keep steady supply through the end of the month. The all-important Ford F-150 had 97 days of supply at the start of October.
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Sales in Q3 are expected to surpass 3.9 million, a jump of more than 15% from the same timeframe one year ago.
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The fast-moving merger of digital and smart technologies is leading to more accurate vehicle inspections, thereby reducing liability, disputes, and losses for remarketing and rental car businesses.
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Analysis: The actions of the UAW will reverberate through the larger auto business, but nowhere near what was experienced in April 2020. Sales into fleet could suffer in 4Q if a strike is wide and persists. Rental car companies may return to the used car market like they did in 2021 and 2022, driving prices higher.
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With sales slightly stronger than expected, tight supply, and prices at about 6% below last year, these factors are expected to prevent any substantial decline in wholesale prices through year-end.
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The number of used vehicles for sale had been increasing after hitting a low point in March but that increase in inventory stalled in mid-July and into August, as sales unexpectedly picked up.
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The United Auto Workers contract with the Detroit Big 3 automakers expires Sept. 14 as new inventory remains 68% above last year's level.
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U.S. fleet sales for August were strong and reached levels for the month not seen since 2019.
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The conversion rate indicates that the first 15 days of August saw buyers with more bargaining power for this time of year.
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