Conditions have shifted to favoring buyers; but with tight supply, the market is close to a balance between buyers and sellers.
Prices usually decline in the first two weeks of April, but in each of the last two years prices increased substantially during these same weeks, the Manheim Index shows.
After closing out 2022 with the longest-running, sharpest decline over a single year, wholesale used vehicle prices have risen in 2023.
All eight major market segments again saw seasonally adjusted prices that were lower year over year last month, with compact cars showing the smallest decline.
All eight major market segments saw seasonally adjusted prices that were lower year over year in October.
All eight major market segments saw seasonally adjusted prices that were lower year over year in the first half of October.
Only three of eight major market segments saw seasonally adjusted prices that were higher year over year in September. The full-year Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index forecast is expected to finish the year down nearly 14% YOY, up from the second quarter’s revised forecast of a 6% decline.
After including dealer and manufacturer fleet sales, the total fleet share of all sales was 14%, up 2% from April 2021's fleet share.
On a month-over-month basis, all major segments saw seasonally adjusted price declines, with pickups declining the most.
Combined sales into large rental, commercial, and government buyers were down 30% year over year in February. Sales into rental were down 52% YOY.
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