Related: Cars Outperform Trucks, Weekly Luxury Depreciation Rates Spike
Used Car Market Bracing for Off-Lease Tidal Wave
A record number of newer model year off-lease vehicles returning to dealer lots this year will be putting significant upward pressure on the late-model used market, according to the February 2017 Edmunds Used Vehicle Market Report.

Courtesy of Edmunds.

Courtesy of Edmunds.
A record number of newer model year off-lease vehicles returning to dealer lots this year will be putting significant upward pressure on the late-model used market, according to the February 2017 Edmunds Used Vehicle Market Report.
Along with the expected influx of newer model year off-lease vehicles, less people are expected to trade-in a car during a new car purchase, further adding to the upward pressure on the late-model used market, the firm added.
In 2016, approximately 45% of car buyers traded in a vehicle during their new car purchase. In 2017, that number is expected to drop to 43%, which could result in the number of trade-ins in 2017 falling below 6 million, which hasn't occurred since 2012.
"While low interest rates and consistent values are making it possible for the market to absorb these newer, more expensive off-lease vehicles, demand for older, less expensive used vehicles hasn't waned," said Ivan Drury, an Edmunds senior analyst. "Fewer older vehicles available puts sellers at an advantage, particularly those looking to sell vehicles that are in high demand like trucks and SUVs."
In 2016, approximately 38.5 million used vehicles were sold, an increase of 0.6% from 2015. Franchise used sales amounted to approximately 11.6 million, an increase of 1.5% despite fewer trade-ins on new vehicle sales, according to the firm. And, of those franchised used vehicle sales, 58% were used vehicles that were three years old or newer, the firm added.
Additionally, due to a rise in leasing, the average age of a used vehicle sold by a franchise dealer in 2016 came in at a record-low 4.1 years old. The average vehicle transaction price for the used segment also saw a record in 2016, a record-high of $19,189.
To find this data, Edmunds analysts looked at lease rates from 2014 to get a rough estimate of how many vehicles should be expected to return to dealers in 2017. Lease volume was 10.6% higher in 2014 compared to 2013. And, since lease volumes also saw year-over-year growth in 2015 and 2016, newer-model lease returns are expected to rise for the next couple of years. And, as a result, used vehicle ages are expected to continue to get younger — and conversely, the availability of late-model used cars is expected to continue to decline — for the foreseeable future, according to Edmunds data.
Originally posted on Automotive Fleet
More Remarketing

Rental Fleet Sales Skating Just Above 2025 Levels
The U.S. economy's continued growth and positive business investment are creating a favorable environment for fleet vehicle demand.
Read More →
Cross-Pressures, Evolving Trends Drive 2026 Rental Car Industry
A combination of cautious economic behavior, shifts in the rental vehicle market, and technological influences are shaping car rental operator decisions.
Read More →
Wholesale Used Vehicle Prices Slightly Up In April
The Iranian conflict and rising gas prices inject much uncertainty into the future wholesale used vehicle markets, as higher gas prices soak up spendable income from vehicle buyers.
Read More →
Surprice Opens Two Rental Branches In Japan
The launch highlights the global car rental operation’s growing presence in Asia.
Read More →
Wholesale Used Vehicle Prices Up In February
Solid demand at Manheim auctions with higher sales conversion rates indicate an appetite from dealers to buy.
Read More →
Rental Fleet Sales Slow In February Ending A Strong Streak
Commercial fleets posted the most gains, sustaining increases in monthly and year-to-date fleet sales
Read More →
Avis Budget Group Reports Near $1 Billion Loss Tied To 2025 EV Fleet Write-Down
Following Hertz, the company is the second global car rental conglomerate to sustain sizable losses due to lower customer demand and usage of electric rental cars.
Read More →
2025 Rental Vehicle Remarketing Summary And Outlook
The year brought modest and flatter results across wholesale values, total off-rental supply, and rental risk units.
Read More →
Auctions Record Highest Vehicle Sales Since 2019
2025 figures show a steady recovery in wholesale vehicle activity this decade.
Read More →
DriveItAway Holdings, Free2move Launch Operations In Nine Cities
The co-branded program with Stellantis’ mobility division scales up leasing and financing options nationwide with more cities to come online in 2026.
Read More →
