Auto Rental News
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Used Car Market Bracing for Off-Lease Tidal Wave

A record number of newer model year off-lease vehicles returning to dealer lots this year will be putting significant upward pressure on the late-model used market, according to the February 2017 Edmunds Used Vehicle Market Report.

by Staff
February 16, 2017
Used Car Market Bracing for Off-Lease Tidal Wave

Courtesy of Edmunds.

2 min to read


Courtesy of Edmunds.

A record number of newer model year off-lease vehicles returning to dealer lots this year will be putting significant upward pressure on the late-model used market, according to the February 2017 Edmunds Used Vehicle Market Report.

Along with the expected influx of newer model year off-lease vehicles, less people are expected to trade-in a car during a new car purchase, further adding to the upward pressure on the late-model used market, the firm added.

Ad Loading...

In 2016, approximately 45% of car buyers traded in a vehicle during their new car purchase. In 2017, that number is expected to drop to 43%, which could result in the number of trade-ins in 2017 falling below 6 million, which hasn't occurred since 2012.

"While low interest rates and consistent values are making it possible for the market to absorb these newer, more expensive off-lease vehicles, demand for older, less expensive used vehicles hasn't waned," said Ivan Drury, an Edmunds senior analyst. "Fewer older vehicles available puts sellers at an advantage, particularly those looking to sell vehicles that are in high demand like trucks and SUVs."

In 2016, approximately 38.5 million used vehicles were sold, an increase of 0.6% from 2015. Franchise used sales amounted to approximately 11.6 million, an increase of 1.5% despite fewer trade-ins on new vehicle sales, according to the firm. And, of those franchised used vehicle sales, 58% were used vehicles that were three years old or newer, the firm added.

Additionally, due to a rise in leasing, the average age of a used vehicle sold by a franchise dealer in 2016 came in at a record-low 4.1 years old. The average vehicle transaction price for the used segment also saw a record in 2016, a record-high of $19,189.

To find this data, Edmunds analysts looked at lease rates from 2014 to get a rough estimate of how many vehicles should be expected to return to dealers in 2017. Lease volume was 10.6% higher in 2014 compared to 2013. And, since lease volumes also saw year-over-year growth in 2015 and 2016, newer-model lease returns are expected to rise for the next couple of years. And, as a result, used vehicle ages are expected to continue to get younger — and conversely, the availability of late-model used cars is expected to continue to decline — for the foreseeable future, according to Edmunds data.  

Originally posted on Automotive Fleet

More Remarketing

A temple scene from Okinawa, Japan.

Surprice Opens Two Rental Branches In Japan

The launch highlights the global car rental operation’s growing presence in Asia.

Read More →
Blue bar graphs showing a rise in used vehicle categories across the board.
Remarketingby News/Media ReleaseMarch 6, 2026

Wholesale Used Vehicle Prices Up In February

Solid demand at Manheim auctions with higher sales conversion rates indicate an appetite from dealers to buy.

Read More →
Green and black bar graphs showing YOY shifts in February fleet sales.
Fleet Acquisitionby Martin RomjueMarch 5, 2026

Rental Fleet Sales Slow In February Ending A Strong Streak

Commercial fleets posted the most gains, sustaining increases in monthly and year-to-date fleet sales

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Rental cars lined up in front of an Avis-Budget storefront outlet.
Rental Operationsby News/Media ReleaseFebruary 20, 2026

Avis Budget Group Reports Near $1 Billion Loss Tied To 2025 EV Fleet Write-Down

Following Hertz, the company is the second global car rental conglomerate to sustain sizable losses due to lower customer demand and usage of electric rental cars.

Read More →
An orange and purple bar graph shows average rental car prices and mileage levels from October 2024 to October 2025.
RemarketingJanuary 16, 2026

2025 Rental Vehicle Remarketing Summary And Outlook

The year brought modest and flatter results across wholesale values, total off-rental supply, and rental risk units.

Read More →
AuctionNet summary table of Dec. 25 auction vehicle sales with three columns.
Fleet Acquisitionby News/Media ReleaseJanuary 13, 2026

Auctions Record Highest Vehicle Sales Since 2019

2025 figures show a steady recovery in wholesale vehicle activity this decade.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
A black CUV tilted downward on stacks of descending gold coins.
Rental Operationsby News/Media ReleaseDecember 29, 2025

DriveItAway Holdings, Free2move Launch Operations In Nine Cities

The co-branded program with Stellantis’ mobility division scales up leasing and financing options nationwide with more cities to come online in 2026.

Read More →
An import duties stamp and stamper superimposed on a flat American flag.
Remarketingby Martin RomjueDecember 26, 2025

Tariffs, Digital Tech, Industry Stats Among Top 10 Remarketing Topics for 2025

The annual look at most-consumed vehicle remarketing content shows what audiences think mattered the most in the mid-decade year.

Read More →
A multicolored row of vertical bar graphs showing the U.S. car rental industry's total revenue, fleet vehicle purchases, and rental cars in service 2015-2025.
Rental Operationsby Martin RomjueDecember 22, 2025

U.S. Car Rental Revenue Crosses $40 Billion

A modest rise in rental car usage and an increase in fleet purchases kept the industry on a steady upward path at mid-decade.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Summary list of U.S. wholesale vehicle auction activity for November 2025.
Remarketingby News/Media ReleaseDecember 10, 2025

Commercial Vehicles Drive November Wholesale Auction Sales

Much of the increase came from rental fleets remarketing large amounts of 2-year-old cars.

Read More →
Ad Loading...